Fine-tuned universe
The MysteriesNudge a few numbers and there are no stars. Design, multiverse, or luck?
Official files, each with a short plain-language summary.
Two-page declaration proclaimed at the Francis Crick Memorial Conference, Churchill College, Cambridge, and signed by conference participants. Concludes that humans are not unique in possessing the neurological substrates of consciousness.
“Non-human animals, including all mammals and birds, and many other creatures, including octopuses, also possess these neurological substrates.” source
A statement by a group of scientists at a conference, not a position of a government or a national academy.
Three-point declaration announced at New York University: strong support for consciousness in mammals and birds, at least a realistic possibility in all vertebrates and many invertebrates, and a call not to ignore that possibility.
“there is strong scientific support for attributions of conscious experience to other mammals and to birds.” source
Signatories sign in a personal capacity, not on behalf of their institutions (stated on the page). Signature count changes over time.
Peer-reviewed, preregistered study in which proponents of IIT and GNWT agreed on predictions in advance; 256 participants were measured with fMRI, MEG and intracranial EEG. Results matched some predictions of each theory and challenged key claims of both.
“These results align with some predictions of IIT and GNWT, while substantially challenging key tenets of both theories.” source
Weight ‘official’ here means a peer-reviewed research record, not a government finding.
Our own reading of the file, written from the sources on the other sheets. Opinion is marked as such.
Two questions hide under one word. The first is how the brain discriminates, integrates and reports information; that is hard work, but ordinary science. The second is why that processing is accompanied by experience at all. Chalmers called the second one the hard problem, and thirty years later no theory has a consensus answer to it.
What has changed is the method. Instead of each camp collecting its own evidence, the Cogitate Consortium had proponents of IIT and GNWT agree in advance on predictions that would count against them. The 2025 results matched some predictions of each and substantially challenged key tenets of both. Meanwhile the circle of candidates has widened: scientists now say the evidence strongly supports experience in mammals and birds and makes it a realistic possibility in fish, insects and octopuses. For AI, the most detailed assessment so far concluded that no system it examined in 2023 was conscious, and that nothing obvious stands in the way of building one that meets its indicators.
Our label is Unexplained in the archive's sense: the question has been investigated seriously and remains open. It would change only if a theory of consciousness made risky predictions and passed them, or if the illusionists persuaded the field that there was never a hard problem to solve.
Illusionists say the label is wrong because there is nothing extra to explain. Keith Frankish, who named the view, argues that phenomenal properties, the inner ‘what it is like’, do not exist; our self-monitoring systems misrepresent ordinary brain processes as having them, much as Dennett compared introspection to a computer's desktop icons. On this reading the hard problem becomes the easier question of why the illusion arises, which cognitive science can in principle answer. Illusionism remains a minority view, but it is a serious one.
Source: What Is Illusionism?
| Humans | Animals | Machines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| What is agreed | Brain activity carries information about what we consciously see; the 2025 study found it in visual, ventrotemporal and inferior frontal cortex. [cogitate-2025] | Strong scientific support for conscious experience in other mammals and in birds (New York Declaration, 2024). [ny-declaration-2024] | The most detailed assessment so far (2023, 19 authors) concluded that no current AI system is conscious. [butlin-long-2023] |
| What is open | Why any of this processing is experienced at all: the hard problem, named in 1995 and still without an accepted answer. [chalmers-1995] | Whether fish, reptiles, insects, crabs and octopuses are conscious: a ‘realistic possibility’, not settled. [ny-declaration-2024] | Whether future systems could be: the same report found no obvious technical barriers to building AI that meets its indicators. [butlin-long-2023] |
Peer-reviewed reference entry covering the concepts of consciousness, the explanatory gap, and the main metaphysical and scientific theories. First published 2004, substantive revision 14 January 2014.
“The problem of consciousness is arguably the central issue in current theorizing about the mind.” source
The paper that named the hard problem: explaining functions such as discrimination and report is one kind of task; explaining why they are accompanied by experience is another. Hosted on the author's own site.
“The really hard problem of consciousness is the problem of experience.” source
Report that derives ‘indicator properties’ of consciousness from scientific theories (global workspace, recurrent processing, higher-order and others) and checks recent AI systems against them.
“Our analysis suggests that no current AI systems are conscious, but also suggests that there are no obvious technical barriers to building AI systems which satisfy these indicators.” source
Frankish explains illusionism: phenomenal properties (qualia) do not exist but seem to, because introspection misrepresents brain processes. He credits Daniel Dennett as its pre-eminent defender and recalls naming the view in 2016.
“Illusionists deny that such properties exist.” source
Published in the issue “La conscience phénoménale : illusion ou réalité ?” (2023). The 2016 founding paper is in the Journal of Consciousness Studies 23 (11–12).
Found, but not linked to a source we trust. Not on the sheets until they are.
Level 2. The Archivist's notes are now pinned to the files, redactions open as you read, and your clearance card is ready.